Predict federal contract recompetes: expiring contracts, likely competitors, win odds.
| Endpoint | https://recompete.dropwatchhq.com/mcp (streamable-http) |
|---|---|
| Registry version | 1.0.0 |
| Now | 3 tools · grade A (98) · pin ts_1b5c55fcac6a6f17776f880a398caee0 · protocol 2024-11-05 |
| First / last listed | 2026-10-25 00:48 UTC / 2026-10-25 00:48 UTC |
| Grade over time | 2026-10-25: A (98), 3 tools |
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Tools: predict_recompete expiring_recompetes lane_competitors
predict_recompete | Predict WHO will win an expiring federal contract recompete. Pass a contract identifier (USAspending generated_internal_id / award gid) OR a NAICS+incumbent pair. Returns the incumbent with an adjusted incumbent-advantage probability plus top likely competitors ranked by recent award velocity in the NAICS/agency lane, the BASE RATES used, sample size, and an honest confidence band. Probabilistic e params: gid, naics, incumbent, agency, topN |
expiring_recompetes | List federal contracts EXPIRING in a horizon window (period-of-performance end), with a winner prediction for each. Filter by NAICS and agency. This is the recompete pipeline feed. params: naics, agency, minDays, maxDays, minAmount, limit |
lane_competitors | Return the firms with the most recent award velocity in a NAICS (and optional agency) lane — i.e. the likely bidders on any recompete in that lane, ranked by recent wins and dollars. params: naics*, agency, limit |
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