Dry Run
Monte Carlo cash-flow simulator for a small services business: odds of running short, and why.
| Endpoint | https://mcp.modernmustardseed.com/dry-run (streamable-http) |
|---|---|
| Registry version | 1.0.0 |
| Now | 3 tools · grade A (94) · pin ts_71558652b4d93f96d91835b02ce640d9 · protocol 2025-06-18 |
| First / last listed | 2026-10-27 00:32 UTC / 2026-10-27 00:32 UTC |
| Grade over time | 2026-10-27: A (94), 3 tools |
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Tools: simulate_cash_year rank_levers list_presets
simulate_cash_year | Simulate the next 52 weeks of a small services business 10,000 times (Monte Carlo) and report the chance it runs short of money, the week that is most likely to happen, reachable money (bank balance plus unused credit) week by week at the 10th, 50th and 90th percentile, the drivers that separated the futures that ran short from the ones that survived, and the profit the business makes at its own a params: preset, name, start_cash, credit_line, credit_drawn, credit_apr, opening_receivables, opening_backlog_weeks, crews, crew_cost_weekly, overhead_weekly, owner_draw_weekly, fixed_costs, leads_per_week, leads_cv, close_rate, seasonality, job_types, collection_shape, bad_debt_rate, tax_rate, surprises, start_month, seed |
rank_levers | Test nine single changes a small business owner can make and rank them by how much each lowers the chance of running short of money in the next 52 weeks, with the change in year-end money as a tiebreak. The levers: take a third up front, take 15 days off payment terms, raise prices 5 percent, take a fifth less owner draw for six months, cut overhead 10 percent, raise the credit line by half, run o params: preset, name, start_cash, credit_line, credit_drawn, credit_apr, opening_receivables, opening_backlog_weeks, crews, crew_cost_weekly, overhead_weekly, owner_draw_weekly, fixed_costs, leads_per_week, leads_cv, close_rate, seasonality, job_types, collection_shape, bad_debt_rate, tax_rate, surprises, start_month, seed |
list_presets | List the six built-in business presets (excavation and septic, plumbing and drain, heating and cooling, landscaping and snow, roofing, and a general small services business) with every default input in the exact field names a simulation accepts, and the revenue, costs and profit each makes at its own averages. Static reference: no network access. params: none |
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