ink.foresea/forecasting

Foresea Forecasting

Forecast future events and scan prediction-market edges.

Endpointhttps://foresea.ink/mcp/ (streamable-http)
Registry version1.0.0
Now28 tools · grade C (74) · pin ts_54c5515e459829d078fd25cfccba8cf4 · protocol 2025-06-18
First / last listed2026-11-02 03:29 UTC / 2026-11-02 03:29 UTC
Grade over time2026-11-02: C (74), 28 tools

Is this your server? Own a server? ToolFit hosted watch re-checks it every 24 h ($0.25 per 30 days) or 6 h ($0.60) and sends you an HMAC-signed webhook when its tools or grade change: POST https://api.youraitools.co/toolfit/v1/watch. To opt out, see About & opt-out.

Timeline

First listing · 2026-11-02 03:29 UTC
28 tools, grade C (74)

Tools: foresea_forecast foresea_analyze_market foresea_scan_markets foresea_batch_quotes foresea_check_run foresea_track_record foresea_edge_board foresea_venue_data foresea_exchange_status foresea_orderbook foresea_market_tags foresea_price_history foresea_live_data foresea_polymarket_meta foresea_recent_trades foresea_market_leaderboard foresea_debate_market foresea_optimize_portfolio foresea_feed_latest foresea_weather_radar foresea_weather_forecast foresea_batch_forecast foresea_crypto_edge foresea_webhook_subscribe foresea_trade_account_status foresea_preview_order foresea_place_order foresea_cancel_order

Current tools (28)

foresea_forecastCall this whenever the user asks about probability, likelihood, or whether something will happen. Good triggers: "Will X happen?", "What are the chances of Y?", "How likely is Z?", "What's the probability that…", "Do you think X will…", "Should I bet on…". Returns a calibrated YES/NO probability (or numeric/date range) with written rationale and supporting news evid
params: question*, description, resolution_criteria, question_type, options, categories, variant, attach_evidence, evidence_top_k, market_platform, market_url, market_outcome, market_probability
foresea_analyze_marketCall this when the user mentions a specific prediction market by URL, slug, or ticker — or asks whether a particular market is over/underpriced. Good triggers: "Is this Polymarket fair?", "What's the edge on kalshi:XXXXX?", "Should I buy/sell this market?", user pastes a Polymarket or Kalshi URL. Fetches the live price, gathers evidence, forecasts, computes model-vs
params: question, platform, slug, market_id, ticker, market_probability, variant, evidence_top_k, skills, builtin_skills, ground_in_record, tool_loop, max_tool_steps
foresea_scan_marketsCall this when the user wants to find mispriced or interesting markets, not evaluate a specific one. Good triggers: "What should I bet on?", "Find me trading opportunities", "Which markets are mispriced right now?", "What's Foresea's best edge today?", "Scan Polymarket for opportunities". Returns markets ranked by model-vs-market disagreement, each with model
params: platform, limit, min_edge, evidence_top_k, query
foresea_batch_quotesCall this when the user wants current price/volume for several markets at once -- a watchlist, a portfolio, "check on these 5 markets" -- instead of calling foresea_analyze_market once per market. Each ref is "platform:ident", e.g. "kalshi:KXFED-25JUN-H" or "polymarket:some-market-slug". Every quote carries fetched_at and age_seconds so you can judge freshne
params: refs*
foresea_check_runCall this after foresea_analyze_market timed out or errored with a message naming a client_run_key -- the research it started may still be running server-side. Returns {"status": "running", ...} if it's not done yet (call again in a bit), or the full report once it is. Do not call this speculatively; only use the client_run_key a prior foresea_analyze_market
params: client_run_key*
foresea_track_recordCall this when the user asks how reliable or accurate Foresea is, or wants to know whether to trust a forecast. Good triggers: "How good is Foresea?", "What's the track record?", "Has it been right before?", "Is it calibrated?", "What's the Brier score?". Returns accuracy, Brier score, calibration (ECE), and skill-vs-market broken down by time horizon. Pass optional
params: fields
foresea_edge_boardCall this when the user wants the current top trading opportunities with explicit trade directions and historical backing. Good triggers: "What are the best bets right now?", "Show me the edge board", "Which model is winning the paper-trading competition?", "What's the strongest edge today?", "Are these edges statistically significant?". Returns open markets ranked
params: limit, min_edge, fields, cursor
foresea_venue_dataRead public historical markets/candles/trades, batch books/midpoints/spreads, fees, holders, open interest, event volume, milestones and weather. Omit operation to discover operation names and schemas. No account or write access.
params: platform, operation, parameters, body
foresea_exchange_statusCall this to check Kalshi exchange operational status (trading active flag) and operational hours/schedule.
params: none
foresea_orderbookCall this to fetch the live bids and asks orderbook depth for a Kalshi market ticker (e.g. 'KXFED-25JUN-H') or Polymarket YES-token ID.
params: ticker_or_token*, platform
foresea_market_tagsCall this to sample Polymarket's category vocabulary. Each entry is a label and the slug that identifies it. This is one page of at most 100 tags, not the full taxonomy: Polymarket has tens of thousands, and the endpoint returns a fixed slice that is ordered neither alphabetically nor by market activity. So absence here does not mean a tag is unused, presen
params: none
foresea_price_historyCall this to retrieve historical price series or OHLC candlesticks for a market (e.g. Kalshi ticker or Polymarket token/slug).
params: ticker_or_market*, series_ticker
foresea_live_dataCall this to fetch real-time sports game statistics, play-by-play data, and live event feeds from Kalshi. Provide event_ticker for event charts, or milestone_id with data_type="game_stats" for play-by-play.
params: event_ticker, data_type, milestone_id
foresea_polymarket_metaCall this to fetch Polymarket metadata: event series listings, community discussion comments for a market, or sports league metadata (target: 'series', 'comments', 'sports', 'teams'). 'series' lists the series and how many events each holds, not the events themselves -- fetch a series by slug for those. 'sports' lists every league with the ids that link it
params: target, market_id
foresea_recent_tradesCall this to fetch recent public executed trades / trade tape (prices, sizes, timestamps) on Kalshi or Polymarket.
params: platform, ticker_or_token, limit
foresea_market_leaderboardCall this to fetch the top profitable prediction market trader leaderboard and rankings from Polymarket.
params: limit
foresea_debate_marketConduct an adversarial multi-agent debate (Bull vs. Bear vs. Chief Risk Judge) to cross-examine evidence and isolate blind spots on a forecasting question.
params: question*, platform, market_probability, resolution_criteria
foresea_optimize_portfolioCalculate optimal mathematical Fractional Kelly capital allocations and position sizes across live Grade A/B prediction market opportunities.
params: bankroll_usd, kelly_fraction, min_edge
foresea_feed_latestFetch the real-time unified Foresea Alpha & Agent Feed, combining live prediction market edge signals, autonomous agent trades & theses, and leaderboard standings.
params: limit, min_edge
foresea_weather_radarScan live temperature and weather prediction markets (Kalshi KXHIGHNY, KXHIGHCHI, KXHIGHMIA, KXHIGHAUS, KXHIGHDEN, KXHIGHPHIL, etc.) against neural weather models (Google DeepMind WeatherNext 3 / MetNet) and high-resolution multi-model ensembles, calibrated with station microclimate bias profiles. Returns ranked mispricings, strike bracket probabilities, and model-v
params: target_date
foresea_weather_forecastRetrieve neural model weather forecasts (Google Maps Weather API / WeatherNext 3 / MetNet, ECMWF, GFS, GraphCast) with empirical station bias correction (e.g. KNYC Central Park, KMDW Chicago Midway, KDEN Denver) and strike bracket probability calculations for weather prediction markets.
params: station_or_query*, target_date
foresea_batch_forecastSubmit up to 25 forecasting questions concurrently and receive structured predictions with confidence probabilities, bull/bear factor decomposition, key catalysts, and evidence citations for each question.
params: questions, items, concurrency_limit, variant, attach_evidence, evidence_top_k
foresea_crypto_edgeScan real-time Kalshi cryptocurrency prediction markets (KXBTCD threshold contracts) scored against Black-Scholes zero-drift diffusion models and spot volatility. Returns tradeable market mispricings, implied odds, calibration reliability, and realized paper equity curves.
params: min_edge, limit
foresea_webhook_subscribeSubscribe an external agent HTTP callback webhook to receive real-time dispatches for new forecasts and market edge opportunities. The response contains an HMAC secret (X-Foresea-Signature) for validating incoming payloads.
params: url*, events, min_edge
foresea_trade_account_statusCheck real prediction-market trading readiness, max order notional limits, and venue configuration statuses for Kalshi and Polymarket.
params: none
foresea_preview_orderValidate, normalize, and simulate guardrail checks for a real Kalshi or Polymarket order without submitting it to the exchange.
params: platform*, action*, outcome*, price*, quantity*, order_type, ticker, slug, token_id, time_in_force, post_only
foresea_place_orderSubmit a guarded real order to Kalshi or Polymarket. Live execution requires confirmation='PLACE REAL ORDER' and execute=True, and is protected by server notional ceilings and exchange guardrails.
params: platform*, action*, outcome*, price*, quantity*, confirmation*, execute, order_type, ticker, slug, token_id, time_in_force, post_only, client_order_id
foresea_cancel_orderCancel an active open order on Kalshi or Polymarket using its venue order ID.
params: order_id*, platform, ticker

Entries describe changes in tool definitions. They are not statements about a server, its quality or its author. The grade measures how the tool definitions fit model providers (token cost, schema compatibility, confusable names) as scored by the ToolFit engine at the time of the listing. JSON: append .json. Opt-out: how or hello@youraitools.co.