org.worldgdp/nowcasts

worldgdp.org GDP nowcasts

Daily GDP nowcasts for 47 economies, 12 regions and the world, plus weekly activity indices.

Endpointhttps://mcp.worldgdp.org/mcp (streamable-http)
Registry version0.2.1
Now11 tools · grade A (100) · pin ts_b6c491066ce4c3cffb9f11c3bbdd18ec · protocol 2025-06-18
First / last listed2026-11-06 02:17 UTC / 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC
Grade over time2026-11-06: A (100), 11 tools

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Timeline

First listing · 2026-11-06 02:17 UTC
11 tools, grade A (100)

Tools: list_economies get_nowcast get_aggregate get_release_calendar get_track_record get_weekly_pulse get_trade get_chokepoints get_sectors get_companies get_us_industries

Current tools (11)

list_economiesList modelled economies and aggregates with the current-quarter GDP nowcast (% q/q SAAR) and share of world GDP.
params: none
get_nowcastCurrent GDP nowcast for one economy: headline (% SAAR), 70% range, days to official release, recent daily path, component contributions and the latest data releases that moved it.
params: economy*, quarter, days
get_aggregateWorld or regional GDP nowcast with coverage and each economy's contribution (pp).
params: aggregate*, quarter
get_release_calendarUpcoming data releases that feed the nowcasts, with expected dates.
params: economy, days
get_track_recordLive track record (every published nowcast vs the official first estimate, no backtest) plus accuracy grade (A+ to C: hit rates within ±1pp/±2pp, error vs a naive forecast, direction calls), model version history and backtest errors (RMSE, pp SAAR, by horizon) of an economy's nowcast versus official GDP.
params: economy*
get_weekly_pulseWeekly Economic Pulse: weekly economic activity index (momentum gauge from high-frequency data such as electricity demand, freight, travel, card spending, jobless claims and job postings; standard deviations from average 13-week growth, 0 = average, not a GDP forecast). Omit economy for the latest reading of every covered economy; give one for its weekly history. Covered: us, de, uk, fr, it, ca, e
params: economy, weeks
get_tradeGlobal Trade Nowcast: freight by mode (rail, road, air, land border: y/y lanes for the US, Canada, Mexico, Germany) and weekly seaborne trade volumes (tonnes moved by sea, from IMF PortWatch satellite ship tracking) for the world, the euro area and covered economies: exports, imports and net trade, 4-week and 13-week y/y, latest month y/y, split by cargo class (tanker, container, dry bulk, general
params: economy, weeks
get_chokepointsMaritime chokepoint monitor: daily ship transits (7-day average) through 28 chokepoints (Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, Suez, Cape of Good Hope, Panama, Malacca, Bosporus, Gibraltar, ...) vs normal (Jan-Oct 2023) and vs last year, status flag, cargo mix now vs normal, plus the Chokepoint Stress Index (0-100, 100 = worst week since 2023) and the Suez share of Suez+Cape transits.
params: chokepoint, weeks
get_sectorsWorld Sector Activity Index: monthly readings on the 50 line (50 = as many firms report rising as falling) by GICS-aligned sector, industry group, industry and sub-industry, for the World, regions (EUROPE, NAMERICA) and countries (EU, EA, US, DE, FR, IT, ES, ...). Built from national business surveys (European Commission NACE subsectors; US Census Business Trends and Outlook Survey) through worldg
params: geo, node, measure, adjusted, months
get_companiesListed companies in a GICS-aligned sector, industry group, industry or sub-industry (worldgdp.org classification from filed activity codes: SEC SIC codes for US listings, TSE 33 sectors for Japan, industry profiles for primary listings above $500m in ~35 other markets): name, ticker, exchange, company country, market cap (USD m), latest weekly price and currency, 3-month weekly closes. Pair with g
params: node*, market, limit
get_us_industriesUS industry breadth from the ISM Report On Business rankings: which of ISM's 18 manufacturing or 18 services industries reported growth (strongest first) or contraction (steepest first) each month, overall and for new orders, production/business activity, employment and prices. Rank signal +1 (strongest growth) to -1 (steepest contraction), 0 = no change reported. Derived breadth measure, not an i
params: survey, question, months

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